Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →25.0%
Frosinone
23.6%
Draw
51.4%
Genoa
Expected Goals (xG)
1.11
Frosinone
vs
1.71
Genoa
Markets
BTTS54.8%
Over 0.594.2%
Over 1.577.0%
Over 2.553.5%
Over 3.531.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.1%
0-1
10.4%
1-2
9.7%
0-2
8.7%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
6.3%
0-0
5.8%
1-3
5.5%
2-2
5.4%
0-3
4.9%
2-0
3.7%
2-3
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).