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AHT: 10CSV

27 Jan 2019

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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21.6%
St Mirren
27.3%
Draw
51.1%
Hibernian

Expected Goals (xG)

0.91

St Mirren

vs
1.54

Hibernian

Markets

BTTS47.9%
Over 0.590.6%
Over 1.571.1%
Over 2.544.4%
Over 3.523.2%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
12.9%
0-1
12.4%
0-2
10.2%
0-0
9.4%
1-2
9.3%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
5.5%
0-3
5.2%
1-3
4.8%
2-2
4.3%
2-0
3.6%
2-3
2.2%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).