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DHT: 11CSV

14 Feb 2026 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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14.6%
Yeovil
28.1%
Draw
57.3%
Rochdale

Expected Goals (xG)

0.63

Yeovil

vs
1.49

Rochdale

Markets

BTTS37.0%
Over 0.587.0%
Over 1.563.4%
Over 2.535.5%
Over 3.516.4%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
17.0%
0-2
13.4%
0-0
13.0%
1-1
12.2%
1-2
8.4%
0-3
6.6%
1-0
6.6%
1-3
4.2%
2-1
3.5%
2-2
2.6%
0-4
2.5%
2-0
2.4%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).