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09 Mar 2025 · 18:15

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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68.9%
St. Gilloise
24.3%
Draw
6.7%
Standard

Expected Goals (xG)

1.59

St. Gilloise

vs
0.32

Standard

Markets

BTTS22.5%
Over 0.584.8%
Over 1.557.4%
Over 2.529.9%
Over 3.512.7%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
23.0%
2-0
18.6%
0-0
15.2%
3-0
9.8%
1-1
8.1%
2-1
6.0%
0-1
4.4%
4-0
3.9%
3-1
3.2%
4-1
1.3%
1-2
1.2%
5-0
1.2%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).