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DHT: 01

13 Dec 2024 · 19:45

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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38.4%
Mechelen
30.0%
Draw
31.6%
Antwerp

Expected Goals (xG)

1.17

Mechelen

vs
1.04

Antwerp

Markets

BTTS45.0%
Over 0.588.5%
Over 1.565.2%
Over 2.537.9%
Over 3.518.2%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
13.8%
1-0
12.4%
0-0
11.5%
0-1
10.9%
2-1
7.8%
2-0
7.6%
1-2
6.9%
0-2
5.9%
2-2
4.0%
3-1
3.1%
3-0
2.9%
1-3
2.4%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).