Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →40.5%
Empoli
28.4%
Draw
31.1%
Spal
Expected Goals (xG)
1.42
Empoli
vs
1.22
Spal
Markets
BTTS54.7%
Over 0.591.6%
Over 1.575.3%
Over 2.549.2%
Over 3.527.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.6%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
8.8%
0-0
8.4%
1-2
7.5%
0-1
7.5%
2-0
7.2%
2-2
5.4%
0-2
5.3%
3-1
4.2%
3-0
3.4%
1-3
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).