Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →24.0%
Morpeth Town
21.2%
Draw
54.8%
Witton Albion
Expected Goals (xG)
1.23
Morpeth Town
vs
1.97
Witton Albion
Markets
BTTS60.6%
Over 0.596.2%
Over 1.582.6%
Over 2.562.0%
Over 3.539.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-2
9.7%
1-1
9.6%
0-1
8.3%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
6.4%
2-1
6.1%
2-2
6.0%
1-0
5.3%
0-3
5.2%
2-3
3.9%
0-0
3.8%
1-4
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).