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27 Jul 2025 · 12:45

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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52.9%
Raków Częstochowa
30.3%
Draw
16.8%
Wisła Płock

Expected Goals (xG)

1.35

Raków Częstochowa

vs
0.65

Wisła Płock

Markets

BTTS36.3%
Over 0.585.4%
Over 1.560.4%
Over 2.532.3%
Over 3.514.3%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
17.3%
0-0
14.6%
1-1
12.9%
2-0
12.4%
2-1
8.0%
0-1
7.7%
3-0
5.6%
1-2
3.8%
3-1
3.6%
0-2
2.8%
2-2
2.6%
4-0
1.9%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).