Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →24.6%
Barnsley
22.0%
Draw
53.4%
Wrexham
Expected Goals (xG)
1.07
Barnsley
vs
1.71
Wrexham
Markets
BTTS52.9%
Over 0.594.8%
Over 1.575.6%
Over 2.552.6%
Over 3.530.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
11.6%
1-1
10.4%
1-2
9.7%
0-2
9.1%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
6.1%
1-3
5.5%
0-0
5.2%
0-3
5.2%
2-2
5.2%
2-0
3.5%
2-3
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).