Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →43.1%
Morton
34.3%
Draw
22.6%
Airdrie Utd
Expected Goals (xG)
1.19
Morton
vs
0.80
Airdrie Utd
Markets
BTTS40.2%
Over 0.584.2%
Over 1.561.0%
Over 2.531.9%
Over 3.514.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0
15.8%
1-1
15.1%
1-0
14.3%
2-0
9.7%
0-1
8.9%
2-1
7.7%
1-2
5.2%
0-2
4.4%
3-0
3.8%
2-2
3.1%
3-1
3.1%
1-3
1.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).