Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →32.7%
Dunfermline
32.0%
Draw
35.3%
Ayr
Expected Goals (xG)
1.16
Dunfermline
vs
1.22
Ayr
Markets
BTTS50.4%
Over 0.588.6%
Over 1.570.7%
Over 2.542.4%
Over 3.521.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
15.2%
0-0
11.4%
0-1
9.2%
1-0
8.7%
1-2
8.0%
2-1
7.6%
0-2
6.9%
2-0
6.3%
2-2
4.6%
1-3
3.2%
3-1
2.9%
0-3
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).