Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →20.5%
Samsunspor
31.0%
Draw
48.5%
Besiktas
Expected Goals (xG)
0.99
Samsunspor
vs
1.60
Besiktas
Markets
BTTS53.1%
Over 0.589.5%
Over 1.576.0%
Over 2.547.8%
Over 3.526.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.9%
0-0
10.5%
0-2
9.6%
1-2
9.5%
0-1
9.0%
2-1
5.9%
0-3
5.1%
1-3
5.1%
2-2
4.7%
1-0
4.5%
2-0
3.7%
2-3
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).