Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →14.5%
Chateauroux
17.6%
Draw
67.9%
Metz
Expected Goals (xG)
0.86
Chateauroux
vs
2.17
Metz
Markets
BTTS50.5%
Over 0.595.9%
Over 1.579.8%
Over 2.558.3%
Over 3.535.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-2
11.3%
0-1
11.2%
1-2
9.8%
1-1
8.3%
0-3
8.2%
1-3
7.1%
1-0
4.9%
0-4
4.4%
2-2
4.2%
0-0
4.1%
2-1
3.9%
1-4
3.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).