Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →84.6%
Bayern Munich
11.0%
Draw
4.4%
Fortuna Dusseldorf
Expected Goals (xG)
3.05
Bayern Munich
vs
0.62
Fortuna Dusseldorf
Markets
BTTS44.6%
Over 0.597.1%
Over 1.588.5%
Over 2.571.0%
Over 3.550.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0
12.0%
2-0
11.8%
4-0
9.1%
3-1
7.5%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
7.4%
4-1
5.7%
5-0
5.6%
1-1
5.2%
5-1
3.5%
0-0
2.9%
3-2
2.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).