Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →51.4%
St Etienne
23.2%
Draw
25.4%
Sochaux
Expected Goals (xG)
1.59
St Etienne
vs
1.02
Sochaux
Markets
BTTS50.0%
Over 0.593.6%
Over 1.572.5%
Over 2.548.5%
Over 3.526.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
12.6%
1-1
11.0%
2-1
9.5%
2-0
9.2%
0-1
8.5%
0-0
6.4%
1-2
6.1%
3-1
5.0%
3-0
4.9%
2-2
4.9%
0-2
3.9%
3-2
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).