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Hertha

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AHT: 00CSV

04 Aug 2023 · 17:30

Wehen

Away

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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61.2%
Hertha
24.9%
Draw
13.9%
Wehen

Expected Goals (xG)

1.76

Hertha

vs
0.72

Wehen

Markets

BTTS43.7%
Over 0.590.6%
Over 1.572.0%
Over 2.545.2%
Over 3.523.9%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
13.6%
2-0
12.9%
1-1
11.6%
0-0
9.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-0
7.6%
3-1
5.5%
0-1
5.0%
1-2
3.8%
2-2
3.4%
4-0
3.3%
4-1
2.4%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).