Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →80.1%
Chesterfield
12.0%
Draw
7.9%
Gateshead
Expected Goals (xG)
3.36
Chesterfield
vs
1.08
Gateshead
Markets
BTTS64.2%
Over 0.598.5%
Over 1.594.0%
Over 2.582.0%
Over 3.564.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-1
8.1%
3-0
7.4%
2-1
7.2%
4-1
6.8%
2-0
6.6%
4-0
6.3%
1-1
4.6%
5-1
4.6%
3-2
4.4%
5-0
4.2%
2-2
3.9%
4-2
3.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).