Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →40.0%
Brest
24.8%
Draw
35.1%
Lille
Expected Goals (xG)
1.36
Brest
vs
1.25
Lille
Markets
BTTS52.4%
Over 0.593.4%
Over 1.572.9%
Over 2.548.5%
Over 3.526.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.8%
1-0
10.7%
0-1
9.9%
2-1
8.5%
1-2
7.8%
2-0
6.8%
0-0
6.6%
0-2
5.8%
2-2
5.3%
3-1
3.9%
1-3
3.3%
3-0
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).