Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →49.1%
Notts County
24.7%
Draw
26.2%
Salford
Expected Goals (xG)
1.53
Notts County
vs
1.04
Salford
Markets
BTTS50.1%
Over 0.592.8%
Over 1.572.1%
Over 2.547.3%
Over 3.525.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
12.2%
1-1
11.7%
2-1
9.3%
2-0
9.0%
0-1
8.4%
0-0
7.2%
1-2
6.3%
2-2
4.8%
3-1
4.7%
3-0
4.6%
0-2
4.1%
3-2
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).