Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →24.0%
Rio Ave
24.6%
Draw
51.5%
Famalicao
Expected Goals (xG)
0.96
Rio Ave
vs
1.54
Famalicao
Markets
BTTS47.8%
Over 0.592.3%
Over 1.570.7%
Over 2.545.5%
Over 3.524.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
13.2%
1-1
11.6%
0-2
9.8%
1-2
9.3%
1-0
8.4%
0-0
7.7%
2-1
5.8%
0-3
5.0%
1-3
4.8%
2-2
4.5%
2-0
3.8%
2-3
2.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).