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10 Dec 2022 · 18:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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36.0%
Villarreal B
30.3%
Draw
33.7%
Tenerife

Expected Goals (xG)

1.04

Villarreal B

vs
0.99

Tenerife

Markets

BTTS40.4%
Over 0.587.0%
Over 1.560.0%
Over 2.533.1%
Over 3.514.8%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
13.8%
1-1
13.4%
0-1
13.2%
0-0
13.0%
2-0
7.1%
2-1
7.0%
1-2
6.7%
0-2
6.5%
2-2
3.5%
3-0
2.4%
3-1
2.4%
1-3
2.2%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).