Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →71.4%
Motherwell
20.5%
Draw
8.2%
St Mirren
Expected Goals (xG)
1.93
Motherwell
vs
0.50
St Mirren
Markets
BTTS34.0%
Over 0.590.7%
Over 1.570.2%
Over 2.543.8%
Over 3.522.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
16.6%
2-0
16.4%
3-0
10.6%
0-0
9.3%
1-1
8.9%
2-1
8.2%
3-1
5.3%
4-0
5.1%
0-1
4.0%
4-1
2.5%
1-2
2.1%
2-2
2.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).