Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →32.5%
Barrow
27.1%
Draw
40.4%
Gillingham
Expected Goals (xG)
1.08
Barrow
vs
1.24
Gillingham
Markets
BTTS46.4%
Over 0.590.7%
Over 1.566.8%
Over 2.540.9%
Over 3.520.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
12.7%
1-1
12.6%
1-0
11.1%
0-0
9.3%
1-2
8.2%
0-2
7.6%
2-1
7.1%
2-0
5.7%
2-2
4.4%
1-3
3.4%
0-3
3.1%
3-1
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).