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04 Mar 2023 · 12:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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27.7%
Blackburn
30.6%
Draw
41.8%
Sheffield United

Expected Goals (xG)

0.97

Blackburn

vs
1.25

Sheffield United

Markets

BTTS45.1%
Over 0.588.1%
Over 1.565.9%
Over 2.538.1%
Over 3.518.3%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
14.1%
0-1
12.7%
0-0
11.9%
1-0
9.6%
0-2
8.5%
1-2
8.2%
2-1
6.4%
2-0
5.1%
2-2
4.0%
0-3
3.5%
1-3
3.4%
3-1
2.0%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).