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21 Apr 2025 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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48.9%
Solihull
25.3%
Draw
25.8%
Boston Utd

Expected Goals (xG)

1.75

Solihull

vs
1.23

Boston Utd

Markets

BTTS59.3%
Over 0.594.0%
Over 1.580.7%
Over 2.557.2%
Over 3.534.8%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
11.8%
2-1
9.6%
1-0
8.0%
2-0
7.8%
1-2
6.7%
0-0
6.0%
2-2
5.9%
3-1
5.6%
0-1
5.3%
3-0
4.6%
0-2
3.8%
3-2
3.4%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).