Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →33.2%
Newcastle
33.6%
Draw
33.1%
Heaton Stannington
Expected Goals (xG)
0.84
Newcastle
vs
0.83
Heaton Stannington
Markets
BTTS31.6%
Over 0.581.6%
Over 1.549.3%
Over 2.523.5%
Over 3.58.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0
18.4%
1-0
16.2%
0-1
16.1%
1-1
12.7%
2-0
6.6%
0-2
6.5%
2-1
5.5%
1-2
5.5%
2-2
2.3%
3-0
1.8%
0-3
1.8%
3-1
1.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).