Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →55.8%
Sociedad B
26.3%
Draw
17.8%
Alcorcon
Expected Goals (xG)
1.47
Sociedad B
vs
0.70
Alcorcon
Markets
BTTS38.6%
Over 0.588.7%
Over 1.563.7%
Over 2.536.9%
Over 3.517.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
16.9%
2-0
12.3%
1-1
11.6%
0-0
11.3%
2-1
8.6%
0-1
8.1%
3-0
6.1%
3-1
4.2%
1-2
4.1%
2-2
3.0%
0-2
2.8%
4-0
2.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).