Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →74.7%
Leeds
17.6%
Draw
7.8%
Bristol City
Expected Goals (xG)
2.31
Leeds
vs
0.63
Bristol City
Markets
BTTS42.6%
Over 0.594.0%
Over 1.579.7%
Over 2.556.2%
Over 3.533.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
14.2%
1-0
11.6%
3-0
10.9%
2-1
8.9%
1-1
8.3%
3-1
6.8%
4-0
6.3%
0-0
6.0%
4-1
3.9%
5-0
2.9%
2-2
2.8%
0-1
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).