Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →38.4%
Wigan
28.0%
Draw
33.5%
Swindon
Expected Goals (xG)
1.08
Wigan
vs
0.98
Swindon
Markets
BTTS40.1%
Over 0.588.4%
Over 1.559.8%
Over 2.533.9%
Over 3.515.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
14.9%
0-1
13.7%
1-1
12.4%
0-0
11.6%
2-0
7.4%
2-1
7.3%
1-2
6.6%
0-2
6.2%
2-2
3.6%
3-0
2.7%
3-1
2.6%
1-3
2.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).