Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →27.6%
Shrewsbury
26.2%
Draw
46.2%
Southend
Expected Goals (xG)
0.92
Shrewsbury
vs
1.29
Southend
Markets
BTTS42.6%
Over 0.590.1%
Over 1.563.8%
Over 2.538.1%
Over 3.518.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
15.2%
1-1
11.9%
1-0
11.2%
0-0
9.9%
0-2
9.1%
1-2
8.4%
2-1
6.0%
2-0
4.6%
0-3
3.9%
2-2
3.9%
1-3
3.6%
3-1
1.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).