Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →91.3%
York
6.4%
Draw
2.3%
Ebbsfleet
Expected Goals (xG)
3.86
York
vs
0.62
Ebbsfleet
Markets
BTTS45.4%
Over 0.598.6%
Over 1.594.0%
Over 2.582.3%
Over 3.565.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0
10.9%
4-0
10.5%
2-0
8.5%
5-0
8.1%
3-1
6.7%
4-1
6.5%
2-1
5.2%
5-1
5.0%
1-0
4.2%
1-1
2.9%
3-2
2.1%
4-2
2.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).