Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →25.0%
Bury
17.1%
Draw
57.9%
Liverpool
Expected Goals (xG)
1.89
Bury
vs
2.83
Liverpool
Markets
BTTS79.7%
Over 0.599.3%
Over 1.594.7%
Over 2.584.9%
Over 3.569.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-2
6.8%
1-3
6.4%
2-2
6.4%
2-3
6.0%
1-1
4.6%
1-4
4.5%
2-1
4.5%
2-4
4.3%
3-2
4.0%
3-3
3.8%
0-2
3.6%
0-3
3.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).