Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →26.6%
Nott'm Forest
28.4%
Draw
45.0%
Liverpool
Expected Goals (xG)
1.16
Nott'm Forest
vs
1.56
Liverpool
Markets
BTTS55.9%
Over 0.591.8%
Over 1.577.2%
Over 2.551.2%
Over 3.529.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.6%
1-2
9.3%
0-1
8.6%
0-0
8.2%
0-2
8.0%
2-1
6.9%
1-0
6.0%
2-2
5.4%
1-3
4.8%
2-0
4.4%
0-3
4.2%
2-3
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).