Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →52.7%
Cambridge
24.3%
Draw
22.9%
Chesterfield
Expected Goals (xG)
1.58
Cambridge
vs
0.94
Chesterfield
Markets
BTTS47.8%
Over 0.592.4%
Over 1.571.1%
Over 2.546.0%
Over 3.524.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
13.2%
1-1
11.5%
2-0
10.1%
2-1
9.4%
0-1
8.1%
0-0
7.6%
1-2
5.6%
3-0
5.3%
3-1
5.0%
2-2
4.4%
0-2
3.6%
3-2
2.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).