Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →69.3%
Lorient
15.8%
Draw
14.9%
Bordeaux
Expected Goals (xG)
2.61
Lorient
vs
1.14
Bordeaux
Markets
BTTS62.8%
Over 0.598.1%
Over 1.588.5%
Over 2.572.4%
Over 3.551.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1
9.1%
2-0
8.0%
3-1
7.9%
3-0
6.9%
1-1
6.6%
1-0
6.5%
2-2
5.2%
4-1
5.2%
3-2
4.5%
4-0
4.5%
1-2
4.0%
0-1
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).