Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →50.6%
Mansfield
23.4%
Draw
26.1%
Notts County
Expected Goals (xG)
1.67
Mansfield
vs
1.12
Notts County
Markets
BTTS54.3%
Over 0.594.3%
Over 1.576.3%
Over 2.552.9%
Over 3.530.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.0%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.6%
2-0
8.5%
0-1
7.3%
1-2
6.4%
0-0
5.7%
2-2
5.4%
3-1
5.3%
3-0
4.8%
0-2
3.9%
3-2
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).