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20 Jul 2020 · 18:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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10.2%
Sheffield United
20.5%
Draw
69.3%
Everton

Expected Goals (xG)

0.76

Sheffield United

vs
2.21

Everton

Markets

BTTS48.7%
Over 0.593.7%
Over 1.580.9%
Over 2.557.1%
Over 3.534.7%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-2
12.5%
0-1
10.1%
1-1
9.8%
1-2
9.5%
0-3
9.2%
1-3
7.0%
0-0
6.3%
0-4
5.1%
1-4
3.9%
2-2
3.6%
2-1
3.3%
1-0
2.7%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).