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HHT: 10CSV

06 Sept 2015

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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46.4%
Trapani
29.5%
Draw
24.0%
Ternana

Expected Goals (xG)

1.41

Trapani

vs
0.95

Ternana

Markets

BTTS47.5%
Over 0.589.3%
Over 1.569.4%
Over 2.541.9%
Over 3.521.2%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
13.9%
1-0
12.1%
0-0
10.7%
2-0
9.4%
2-1
8.9%
0-1
7.7%
1-2
6.0%
3-0
4.4%
0-2
4.2%
2-2
4.2%
3-1
4.2%
3-2
2.0%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).