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24 Nov 2019 · 19:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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44.3%
St Truiden
25.4%
Draw
30.3%
Charleroi

Expected Goals (xG)

1.65

St Truiden

vs
1.33

Charleroi

Markets

BTTS60.0%
Over 0.594.3%
Over 1.580.4%
Over 2.557.1%
Over 3.534.7%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
11.8%
2-1
9.2%
1-0
7.7%
1-2
7.4%
2-0
6.9%
0-1
6.1%
2-2
6.1%
0-0
5.7%
3-1
5.0%
0-2
4.5%
3-0
3.8%
3-2
3.4%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).