Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →35.4%
Ascoli
36.0%
Draw
28.6%
Sudtirol
Expected Goals (xG)
0.94
Ascoli
vs
0.82
Sudtirol
Markets
BTTS35.2%
Over 0.581.4%
Over 1.553.6%
Over 2.525.7%
Over 3.510.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0
18.6%
1-0
14.9%
1-1
14.6%
0-1
12.8%
2-0
7.6%
2-1
6.2%
0-2
5.8%
1-2
5.4%
2-2
2.5%
3-0
2.4%
3-1
1.9%
0-3
1.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).