Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →63.4%
Genoa
24.5%
Draw
12.1%
Reggina
Expected Goals (xG)
1.77
Genoa
vs
0.65
Reggina
Markets
BTTS40.7%
Over 0.590.1%
Over 1.570.7%
Over 2.543.6%
Over 3.522.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
14.7%
2-0
13.9%
1-1
11.2%
0-0
9.9%
2-1
9.1%
3-0
8.2%
3-1
5.4%
0-1
4.8%
4-0
3.6%
1-2
3.3%
2-2
2.9%
4-1
2.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).