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AHT: 01CSV

25 Aug 2023 · 20:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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14.5%
Cartagena
20.2%
Draw
65.3%
Levante

Expected Goals (xG)

0.82

Cartagena

vs
2.01

Levante

Markets

BTTS48.4%
Over 0.594.2%
Over 1.577.3%
Over 2.553.8%
Over 3.531.5%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
11.9%
0-2
11.9%
1-2
9.8%
1-1
9.6%
0-3
8.0%
1-3
6.6%
0-0
5.8%
1-0
4.9%
0-4
4.0%
2-2
4.0%
2-1
4.0%
1-4
3.3%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).