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08 Mar 2022 · 19:45

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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48.2%
Altrincham
28.2%
Draw
23.6%
Weymouth

Expected Goals (xG)

1.49

Altrincham

vs
0.97

Weymouth

Markets

BTTS49.3%
Over 0.590.5%
Over 1.571.6%
Over 2.544.8%
Over 3.523.5%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
13.4%
1-0
11.6%
0-0
9.5%
2-0
9.5%
2-1
9.2%
0-1
7.2%
1-2
6.0%
3-0
4.7%
3-1
4.6%
2-2
4.5%
0-2
4.0%
3-2
2.2%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).