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22 Oct 2023 · 20:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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38.3%
Valladolid
26.3%
Draw
35.4%
Andorra

Expected Goals (xG)

1.32

Valladolid

vs
1.26

Andorra

Markets

BTTS52.3%
Over 0.592.5%
Over 1.572.7%
Over 2.547.6%
Over 3.525.9%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
12.5%
1-0
10.2%
0-1
9.7%
2-1
8.3%
1-2
7.9%
0-0
7.5%
2-0
6.6%
0-2
6.0%
2-2
5.2%
3-1
3.7%
1-3
3.3%
3-0
2.9%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).