Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →42.1%
Empoli
28.7%
Draw
29.3%
Benevento
Expected Goals (xG)
1.43
Empoli
vs
1.16
Benevento
Markets
BTTS53.3%
Over 0.591.2%
Over 1.574.2%
Over 2.547.8%
Over 3.526.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.7%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
8.9%
0-0
8.8%
2-0
7.7%
0-1
7.5%
1-2
7.2%
2-2
5.1%
0-2
5.0%
3-1
4.2%
3-0
3.7%
1-3
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).