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19 Oct 2024 · 12:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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42.6%
Hannover
28.9%
Draw
28.5%
Schalke 04

Expected Goals (xG)

1.41

Hannover

vs
1.11

Schalke 04

Markets

BTTS52.1%
Over 0.590.8%
Over 1.573.1%
Over 2.546.4%
Over 3.524.9%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
13.8%
1-0
10.1%
0-0
9.2%
2-1
8.9%
2-0
8.0%
0-1
7.7%
1-2
7.0%
0-2
5.0%
2-2
5.0%
3-1
4.2%
3-0
3.8%
1-3
2.6%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).