Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →52.4%
Malmö FF
25.1%
Draw
22.4%
Häcken
Expected Goals (xG)
1.84
Malmö FF
vs
1.15
Häcken
Markets
BTTS58.5%
Over 0.593.8%
Over 1.581.0%
Over 2.557.3%
Over 3.534.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.8%
2-1
9.8%
2-0
8.6%
1-0
8.2%
0-0
6.2%
1-2
6.1%
3-1
6.0%
2-2
5.6%
3-0
5.2%
0-1
4.6%
3-2
3.4%
0-2
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).