Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →19.0%
Ingolstadt
24.6%
Draw
56.4%
Nurnberg
Expected Goals (xG)
1.00
Ingolstadt
vs
1.85
Nurnberg
Markets
BTTS54.2%
Over 0.593.2%
Over 1.578.8%
Over 2.554.2%
Over 3.531.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.7%
0-2
9.9%
1-2
9.9%
0-1
9.7%
0-0
6.8%
0-3
6.1%
1-3
6.1%
2-1
5.3%
2-2
4.9%
1-0
4.7%
2-3
3.0%
2-0
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).