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AHT: 01CSV

06 Feb 2026 · 19:00

Rodez

Away

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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34.9%
Boulogne
22.6%
Draw
42.6%
Rodez

Expected Goals (xG)

1.39

Boulogne

vs
1.56

Rodez

Markets

BTTS58.4%
Over 0.595.7%
Over 1.578.4%
Over 2.556.6%
Over 3.534.2%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
10.4%
0-1
9.1%
1-2
8.9%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
7.9%
0-2
6.4%
2-2
6.2%
2-0
5.0%
1-3
4.6%
0-0
4.3%
3-1
3.6%
0-3
3.3%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).