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HHT: 30

08 Oct 2024 · 18:45

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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97.5%
Lowestoft Town
1.5%
Draw
0.9%
Haringey Borough

Expected Goals (xG)

7.93

Lowestoft Town

vs
1.53

Haringey Borough

Markets

BTTS78.4%
Over 0.5100.0%
Over 1.599.9%
Over 2.599.5%
Over 3.598.2%

Most Likely Scorelines

5-1
3.8%
5-2
2.9%
5-0
2.5%
4-1
2.4%
4-2
1.8%
4-0
1.6%
5-3
1.5%
3-1
1.2%
4-3
0.9%
3-2
0.9%
3-0
0.8%
5-4
0.6%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).